Analysis Platform & Projects
The analytics stack
A working data infrastructure built on real competition data - automated ingestion pipelines, live dashboards, and applied analysis across international and club water polo.
Data Pipeline
Automated ingestion pipeline covering Champions League, World Championships, Olympics, European Championships, and World Cup. Orchestrated with Prefect; outputs clean, structured match-event databases.
Match Stats Dashboard
Live data entry and post-match statistics dashboard. Includes an xG (expected goals) model trained on shot location and match state data. Deployed on Render.
Academy Development Dashboard
Tracks academy athlete development over time — strain levels, fitness testing, and performance data. Player profiles with longitudinal views across training blocks.
xG Model
Expected goals model for water polo shots. Trained on shot location, game state, and situational context. Integrated into the match stats dashboard as a live prediction tool.
Markov Chain Possession Model
Models water polo possessions as a Markov process. Generates transition matrices across possession states and calculates expected goals per possession by game state.
Europeans 2026 Heatmaps
Shot and position heatmaps for the 2026 European Championships using kernel density estimation. Interactive pool visualisation with team and player filters.
Timeout Effectiveness
Statistical analysis of timeout calls across multiple competitions. Measures scoring rate, possession efficiency, and goal concession in defined windows before and after each timeout.
Penalty Analysis
Analysis of penalty shoot-out data from the Water Polo World Championships. Shot placement, goalkeeper movement, and conversion rates by situation.
Double Exclusion Analysis
Explores outcomes of double exclusion (4v4) situations. Network graphs of possession patterns and scoring rates in man-down and equal-strength transitions.
Player Partnerships
Assist network analysis across multiple leagues and competitions. Identifies key passing partnerships and over- or under-used connections within team structures.
Shot Distribution
Shot location and outcome analysis mapped to pool zones. Compares shooting profiles between teams, competitions, and periods to identify tactical tendencies.
Player Efficiency Rating
Composite player efficiency metric derived from involvement rates, shot contributions, exclusions drawn, and defensive actions across a season or competition dataset.
Source code for most projects available on request. Get in touch.